Reporter's Note: The president may be feeling encouraged by reports that Republicans are pretty deeply divided over which person should run on their party’s ticket against him. Perhaps not as encouraged as he is by my daily letters, but still…
Dear Mr. President,
I am not surprised to see that the latest polls show some chaos on the Republican side in terms of whom they want to run against you in 2012. The election for regular Americans (meaning all the people who live outside of the Beltway, and actually have lives) is still a distant ship on the horizon. “Yes, it seems to be coming our way, but gosh it’s still so far off there is no need to worry now.”
So they will consider this candidate, and flirt with that one, and tell pollsters they like one or the other, and frankly I don’t think any of it means a hill of beans at this point. Seriously, where were you in the polls when the last presidential election was this far away? I can’t remember the precise numbers, but I’m pretty sure you were barely a blip.
You have a lot of fans, of course, who will pat you on the back and tell you that the confusion from Camp GOP is good for you, and I suppose it is in a very minor way. And if it somehow continues much deeper into the process, then it could prove a decisive advantage for your re-election hopes.
But it would be a grave mistake for you or your fellow Democrats to count on that.
Again, think of the pandemonium in your party when you were overtaking Hillary Clinton. A lot of Repubs thought that would be curtains for your side, but as it turns out…not so much.
In all likelihood, the GOP will pull it together, settle on a contender, and then start pounding away at winning voters. Their problems now, are just like yours - minor stumbles in a very long race.
I hope you have a nice holiday weekend. I’ll say a prayer for our lost troops over all the many years, and I’m sure you will too.
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