October 3rd, 2008
10:43 AM ET

Women Who Are Politically Independent: Up for Grabs?

Frank Newport

Independent women who are Catholic, middle aged, not college graduates, of average religiosity, and of mid-range incomes are most evenly split in their presidential candidate choices, and thus may be most "up for grabs" in the remaining weeks of the campaign.

The importance of the female vote has been underscored by the selection of Sarah Palin as John McCain's vice-presidential running mate. The reaction of women to Thursday night's debate between Palin and Joe Biden - which will not be fully evident until the days to come - will thus be carefully watched.

Taken as a whole, women who are registered voters tilt in their candidate preferences toward the Democrat Barack Obama, reflecting the usual gender gap that affects national politics today. But since over half of all voters in the United States are women, this broad-brush look at their preferences is only the beginning point.

Most importantly, about two-thirds of women today identify themselves as either Democrats or Republicans, and are highly likely to be voting for their party's candidate. A special Gallup analysis of more than 26,000 interviews conducted in September confirms that Democratic women overwhelmingly support Obama, and Republican women overwhelmingly prefer McCain. This leaves independent women, who are much more even in their vote-choice distribution.


Filed under: Raw Politics
October 3rd, 2008
09:46 AM ET

Bailout turns lawyer into blogger

Ted Rowlands
CNN Correspondent

Morgan Doran did his best to stop the bailout plan. The 37-year-old Los Angeles attorney, who says he’s not a blogger, turned into one while on paternity leave for the past few weeks.

Between changing diapers and enjoying his newborn son he launched stopthehousingbailout.com, a full out assault against the bailout. Morgan, who works in the field of finance, says he thinks the government plan is “appalling,” and wanted to do everything in his power to educate people on the reasons why he doesn’t think this is good for the country.

Speaking by phone, Morgan told me the biggest issue he has with the plan, besides the “appalling” lack of detail, is the ridiculous notion that there is some sort of immediate catastrophe waiting if government doesn’t step in to save the day.

Morgan says everyone knew this was coming and yet just as lawmakers were set to leave town the White House and Treasury Secretary Paulson came running out to scare people into believing that a bailout is needed “right away” to avert dire consequences.


Filed under: 360° Radar • Bailout Turmoil • Economy • Ted Rowlands
October 3rd, 2008
08:11 AM ET

Morning Buzz: Gaffe-Free? You betchya

Penny Manis
AC360 Senior Producer

Good morning folks, TGIF.

Last night, we saw Sarah Palin and Joe Biden face off. The candidates covered everything from the economy to energy policy to foreign policy in the only Veep debate of this elex season. Our early CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll numbers of debate watchers show the majority thought that Biden won the debate, but that Palin also exceeded expectations.

51% though Biden did a better job, compared to 36% for Palin, but those surveyed though that Palin was more likable than Biden. Bottom line, both candidates held their own and then some. How do you think they did last night? FULL POST

Filed under: The Buzz
October 3rd, 2008
12:04 AM ET

A win/win debate

David Gergen
AC360 Contributor
CNN Senior Political Analyst

Republican conservatives should be happy tonight: the Sarah Palin who showed up for the debate was the same spirited, authentic woman when she was announced, not the one who sat down with Katie Couric.

While she made a few small mistakes and often avoided direct answers, she deserves credit for performing as well as she did in a moment of huge pressure.

Her problem was that the Joe Biden who showed up delivered the best debate performance of his life. He was extremely well informed, especially on foreign policy, and he argued his case with force and occasional eloquence. Like Palin, he didn't make any big mistakes either — and importantly, he was never condescending toward her.

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