April 24th, 2008
12:28 PM ET

In for the Long Haul

[cnn-photo-caption image= http://i.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2008/images/04/24/art.hillary.in.jpg%5D

Leslie Sanchez
spokesman and deputy press secretary at the Republican National Committee during the 2000 presidential campaign,
Author, “Los Republicanos: Why Hispanics and Republicans Need Each Other.”

Hillary Clinton now has everything she needs to take this to Denver , and I think she will. I've said before that it will take the “”Jaws of Life” to get her out of this race. Now, I wonder if even that could do it.

Increasingly it looks like there's going to be a smoke-filled back room somewhere in Denver, and she's going into that card game with a pretty strong hand. Pennsylvania’s results put her strongly back in the race. If she performs better than expected in North Carolina and wins Indiana, she will have made it nearly impossible for Democrats to come to a fast or easy nominating decision.

Another important point that cannot be ignored is that to raise money at historic levels (now over $420 million among the two) donors have emotionally invested in their candidate, despite what the pros may say. If this continues, it could well leave each of them no choice but to join forces, and that's a recipe for disaster, especially considering the things they've already said about each other.

This is the kind of fight that leaves deep, personal and emotional wounds, the kind that last for years. It is blood sport between two of the Democrats' most reliable constituencies, and these are the kind of conventions that set up rifts that go on for decades—like the Goldwater-Rockefeller fights of the 1960s that split the GOP in two. Hillary Clinton is in a better negotiating position than Barack Obama based on the things she has to offer: the vice presidency, cabinet posts and ambassadorial appointments, and, most importantly, the availability of her husband’s fundraising prowess. She may even wind up like Lyndon Johnson, able to force herself on Obama's ticket (she, the one who told us he wasn't ready for the office).

There’s an old saying that you don’t bring a knife to a gun fight. If it comes down to back room negotiations in Denver, and I still think it more likely than not, Obama is bringing a pen knife to the battle for Pork Chop Hill.

If that happens, it bodes well for John McCain, as long as he can assemble a ticket that looks more like a team than a combat zone.

Filed under: Barack Obama • Hillary Clinton • Leslie Sanchez • Raw Politics
soundoff (55 Responses)
  1. lewis

    i don"t think obama have a problem with blue collar workers. because blue collar workers are black and white american people. the meida is blowing smoke up america. nose

    April 25, 2008 at 4:30 am |
  2. varghese yohannan

    dear reader, I just want to comment on some of the remarks that I am reading about sen.Clinton. I believe that she is a tough women just like her husband. Remember the republicans tried hard to take Mr. Bill Clinton out of presidency. They could not. Hillary is the same way.
    There is an old saying in my language that a stone which receive the smell of jasmine flower will have the same smell for a long time. Well I hope sen. Hillary will be nominated as a presidential candidate even with all this negative adds and support from all the press and news media. She is a strong candidate. As sen. Obama, I like him as a person. But, I do not want to see him as a PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES. Simply because He does not have the experience to lead our nation.

    April 25, 2008 at 2:38 am |
  3. Michael White

    I think Hillary is the best choice for President. She is the most intelligent and experienced. Obama is not a strong enough candidate. He has no experience, nor the expertise like she does. I also feel if John McCain is elected, the United States will become third world and continue to demise. Hillary is the only candidate for me because she has what it takes to not only repair what GWB and his administration have done, but to repair our relations with the world. Everyone hates us more than ever before and I'm tired of being embarrassed. I've also never struggled financially before in my life, but now I am because of gas prices ! Everything has gone up!!!! It's an extremely sad time to be an American. We need guidance. We need Hillary!

    April 25, 2008 at 2:09 am |
  4. JA

    Senator Clinton can be in it for the long haul if she likes. I equate that to someone being in a bas relationship all the signs are there that you should leave but we choose to stay. I am disgusted with the way she has ran her campaign. She clearly demonstrates her drive to win, which is fine I only have a problem with her methods. She lacks ethics, integrity, diplomacy and many other attributes that should be required of a president. I f she wins the nomination I can not vote for her because she goes against my values and morals. I would be shamed if one of my children set out for any office and succeeded based on a platform such as Senator Clinton's.
    As for Senator Obama, we keep speaking about the Rev. Wright issue. Why do we say innocent until proven guilty when we dont mean it? Our pastor's goal should be to lead us to salvation. It is not to guide us politically. Has anyone ever thought maybe he has inspired Senator Obama and not in the negative. Maybe that is why his campaign differs from Clinton's because it is based on the lover of America and all its people. Which would make sense why he would seek change to make things better. Just a thought seek to understand befor you condemn someone.

    April 25, 2008 at 1:46 am |
  5. shar

    In response to Hillary loosing the "black vote", I would assume that Mr. Obama, as a loyal Democrat, would work to prevent this outcome. I cannot imagine that the African American Community would base their vote on racial definition of the candidate. In addition, Obama has done next to nothing for African Americans other be born half black. It should always be remembered that no minority can be successful in their endeavors without the help of the majority. The Clintons, although not of the same racial group, have worked more on behalf of that African Community than has Obama. I cannot believe that the African American Community would not be adult enough to be aware that the Democratic Party best represents their interests with or without Obama.

    April 25, 2008 at 1:42 am |
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