Editor's note: Watch Ed Rollins tonight on AC360° with David Gergen and Paul Begala.
GOP Strategist, Former Huckabee National Campaign Chairman
This race is starting to feel like the 1980 Reagan- Carter race. The country is desperate to change from the Bush policies as it was in 1980 from the Carter policies. Reagan won in an electoral landslide winning 44 states; 489 electoral votes and 50.7% of the vote in a three person race. (Carter got 41%). Equally important a switch of 12 Senators to the Republican side and 35 in the House allowed Reagan to get much of his agenda through in the first several months.
Obviously, this election isn't over but McCain's prospects dim by the day. If Sen. Obama wins it won't be by the Reagan numbers but it could be an electoral landslide and well over 50% of the vote. He also is going to bring in a large number of new Democratic Senators and House members that could make this a re-aligning election.
A substantial lead in the polls, resources allowing Sen. Obama to out-buy Sen. McCain by a three to one margin on television, and a far more extensive get out the vote operation, all combined with a bad economy add up to a formula for victory for Sen. Obama.
I don't underestimate John McCain and I admire his courage but overcoming a "mood for change", more intent supporters, more television and a ground operation better than any modern campaign is an almost impossible task.
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