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February 1st, 2008
04:13 PM ET

Who has the edge? The answer's not obvious

David Gergen 
David Gergen is a political contributor for Anderson Cooper 360°.

     

Two CNN commentators - Bill Bennett and Bill Schneider - argued afterward that because Hillary is the front runner, Barack needed to score a knockdown last night. Since he didn't, they declared it Hillary's night. That is ordinarily a persuasive argument (the night before after the GOP debate, I made a similar argument that heading toward Super Tuesday, Romney needed two touchdowns and came up at best with two field goals - hence game to McCain).

Bennett and Schneider may turn out to be right about last night. But my sense is that the Democratic candidates are in a different place than Republicans. Within the GOP, McCain clearly has the momentum and may be pulling away; that's why Romney badly needed to stop him cold in this week's debate and his failure to do so has left him in peril this coming Tuesday. By contrast, Barack is still behind Hillary but he seems to be closing the gap. (Gallup last night had her national lead down to 4 points; Rasmussen had her California lead down to 3.) Whether Barack can actually surge past her or she will hold him off is the big question mark of the next five days.

Given that environment, I thought Barack was wise not to go on a fierce attack but to demonstrate how effective and winsome he can be in reaching out to someone who opposes him - the very kind of traits he promises to bring to the White House. In a one-on-one, he also did not want to seem sexist toward her. Hillary did extremely well last night on the substance - she remains the best candidate in either party in her grasp of issues. But it is worth remembering that when these debates started, she was pretty much running over him. Barack has gotten steadily better and last night he held his own on the issues - indeed, he got the best of the argument on Iraq.

So, it came out pretty even in my view. Hillary did what she needed to do and there is certainly a plausible argument that if it was a draw, she drew the greatest benefit. But my sense is that as the challenger, Barack also did what he needed to do - he kept the momentum. She is still the favorite on Tuesday, but he is starting to breathe down her neck.

One final point: for Democrats overall, the contrast between the Hillary - Barack last night versus McCain - Romney the prior night should have given them encouragement. McCain has the best chance to win among Republicans, but if you look at his debate performance this week against that of Hillary and Barack, it looks as if he will have his hands very full this fall. To be sure, he was tired on Wednesday and his advisers acknowledge that he had an off time. But Hillary and Barack both showed they will be very tough in the fall debates ahead.

– David Gergen, Senior Political Analyst


Filed under: Barack Obama • David Gergen • Hillary Clinton • John McCain • Mitt Romney • Raw Politics
February 1st, 2008
01:14 PM ET

Beat 360

Whatsup Bloggers!

So you heard the Republican candidates debate, and we loved your beat 360 captions from yesterday (check them out right here). Last night you heard what the Democrats had to say... But we're not done yet! Not just because 'Super Tuesday' is around the corner... but because its time for Beat 360!

For those of you who don’t know, we’ve started something new — Beat 360°.

Everyday we post a picture — and you provide the caption. Our staff will get in on the action too.

Tune in every night at 10p ET to see if you are our favorite! Can you beat 360°? Here is today’s “Beat 360°” pic of the day:

ALT TEXT

Here is one to get you started:

"I mean it, let's move in together, and get a lovely little White House, huge front lawn..."

Have fun with it. Make sure to include your name, city, state (or country) so we can post your comment.

– David Reisner, 360° Digital Producer


Filed under: Beat 360° • Raw Politics
February 1st, 2008
12:57 PM ET

Learning from universal health care proposals

I am sure many of you watched the debate last night and noticed that the first 40 minutes (of a 90-minute debate) were all about health care. As a member of the audience, I saw both Senators Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton talk about how similar their plans were and the differences as well. As I blogged yesterday, there are some distinctions, which are important for you, the voter, to know.What you may not know is that there was a recent proposal here in California to create a universal health care plan for all Californians. Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger, a Republican, along with members of the state Senate had put forward ABX1, which would create a system of universal coverage. Just this week, it was overwhelmingly voted down in the senate health committee by a vote of 7-1.

I find it interesting the two states that put forward concrete universal health care plans, a core Democratic issue, were both led by Republican governors – Mitt Romney in Massachusetts and Schwarzenegger in California. I also wonder if the members of the Senate Health Committee in California looked at the successes and failures of the Massachusetts plans before voting their own plan down. While more people than ever are covered in Massachusetts, the cost overruns have been more than $400 million.

So, here is the question. Looking at these two states, does their history make the argument that universal health care cannot be achieved in the United States or that it can be achieved, but only at the national level? What do you think we have learned about the country from looking at these two states?

– Dr. Sanjay Gupta, Chief Medical Correspondent Programming note: Watch "Broken Government: Health Care – Critical Condition" Sunday night at 11 ET on CNN.

Editor's Note: Medical news is a popular but sensitive subject rooted in science. We receive many comments on this blog each day; not all are posted. Our hope is that much will be learned from the sharing of useful information and personal experiences based on the medical and health topics of the blog. We encourage you to focus your comments on those medical and health topics and we appreciate your input. Thank you for your participation.

 


Filed under: Barack Obama • Health Care • Hillary Clinton • Raw Politics